Economic and industrial characteristics of Russian regions influencing individual risk of death: results of a prospective ESSE-RF study
- 作者: Maksimov S.A.1, Shalnova S.A.1, Kutsenko V.A.1,2, Kapustina A.V.1, Balanova Y.A.1, Muromtseva G.A.1, Evstifeeva S.E.1, Imaeva A.E.1, Karamnova N.S.1, Drapkina O.M.1
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隶属关系:
- National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine
- Lomonosov Moscow State University
- 期: 卷 69, 编号 1 (2025)
- 页面: 20-26
- 栏目: HEALTH CARE ORGANIZATION
- ##submission.dateSubmitted##: 08.03.2025
- URL: https://hum-ecol.ru/0044-197X/article/view/676933
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.47470/0044-197X-2025-69-1-20-26
- EDN: https://elibrary.ru/uztduv
- ID: 676933
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详细
Introduction. The territorial characteristics of the population’s residence can influence individual health risks. For the Russian population, the influence of regional living conditions on the individual probability of behavioural risk factors and the development of a number of diseases is shown.
The purpose of the study is on the base on prospective observation data to assess the individual risks of death from the regional living conditions of the Russian population.
Materials and methods. Individual indicators were taken from the Russian study ESSE-RF 2013–2014, with subsequent prospective observation during 2015–2021. (sixteen thousand three hundred twenty nine people of 25–64 years from 10 regions of Russia). To assess regional living conditions, 4 regional indices were used: Socio-geographical, Demographic, Industrial, Economic. A proportional hazards model (Cox regression) was used to estimate associations, calculating odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals, adjusting for a wide range of individual sociodemographic, behavioural and clinical characteristics.
Results. In the full model, living in an economically developed region reduces the individual probability of death (0.55; 0.43–0.71). The contribution of the Economic Index, compared to individual traditional health risk factors, is quite high. The influence of the Economic Index is most pronounced in men and people aged of 55–64 years. In the group of people without higher education, living in an industrialized region increases the individual probability of death (1.36; 1.05–1.76).
Research limitations. To represent a Russian representative sample, 10 regions is sufficient, however, when considering regional characteristics, of course, more stable patterns of influence would be obtained if a larger number of regions were involved, with all the diversity of regional living conditions of the population.
Conclusion. The study made it possible to identify the dependence of the individual probability of death on the regional characteristics of the Russian population, which expands the fundamental understanding of the cause-and-effect dependencies of human health on environmental factors and makes it possible to take into account environmental factors in predicting the health of the population.
Compliance with ethical standards. The study was approved by local ethical committees: National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine (Moscow), protocol No. 07-03/12 dated 07.03.2012. All patients signed an informed consent to participate in the study.
Contribution of the authors:
Maksimov S.A. — research concept and design, writing the text, compilation of the list of literature, statistical data processing;
Shalnova S.A. — research concept and design, editing;
Kutsenko V.A. — statistical data processing, editing;
Kapustina A.V. — collection and processing of material;
Balanova Yu.A. — collection and processing of material;
Muromtseva G.A. — collection and processing of material;
Evstifeeva S.E. — collection and processing of material;
Imaeva A.E. — collection and processing of material;
Karamnova N.S. — collection and processing of material;
Drapkina O.M. — collection and processing of material, editing.
All authors are responsible for the integrity of all parts of the manuscript and approval of the manuscript final version.
Acknowledgment. The study had no sponsorship.
Conflict of interest. The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Received: January 25, 2024 /Accepted: March 19, 2024 / Published: February 28, 2025
作者简介
Sergey Maksimov
National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine
Email: m1979sa@yandex.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0545-2586
DSc (Medicine), Associate Professor, Head of the Laboratory of Geospatial and Environmental Health Factors, National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, 101990, Russian Federation
e-mail: m1979sa@yandex.ru
Svetlana Shalnova
National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine
Email: sshalnova@gnicpm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2087-6483
DSc (Medicine), Professor, Head of the Department of Epidemiology of Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases, National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, 101990, Russian Federation
e-mail: sshalnova@gnicpm.ru
Vladimir Kutsenko
National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine; Lomonosov Moscow State University
Email: vlakutsenko@ya.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9844-3122
Senior researcher, Laboratory of biostatistics, National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, 101990, Russian Federation
e-mail: vlakutsenko@ya.ru
Anna Kapustina
National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine
Email: akapustina@gnicpm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9624-9374
Senior researcher, Department of Epidemiology of Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases, National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, 101990, Russian Federation
e-mail: akapustina@gnicpm.ru
Yulia Balanova
National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine
Email: jbalanova@gnicpm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8011-2798
DSc (Medicine), leading researcher, Department of Epidemiology of Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases, National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, 101990, Russian Federation
e-mail: jbalanova@gnicpm.ru
Galina Muromtseva
National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine
Email: gmuromtseva@gnicpm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0240-3941
PhD (Biology), leading researcher, Department of Epidemiology of Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases, National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, 101990, Russian Federation
e-mail: gmuromtseva@gnicpm.ru
Svetlana Evstifeeva
National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine
Email: sevstifeeva@gnicpm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7486-4667
MD, PhD, senior researcher, Department of Epidemiology of Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases, National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, 101990, Russian Federation
e-mail: sevstifeeva@gnicpm.ru
Asija Imaeva
National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine
Email: aimaeva@gnicpm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9332-0622
DSc (Medicine), leading researcher, Department of Epidemiology of Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases, National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, 101990, Russian Federation
e-mail: aimaeva@gnicpm.ru
Natalia Karamnova
National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine
Email: nkaramnova@gnicpm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8604-712X
DSc (Medicine), Head of the Laboratory of Epidemiology of Nutrition, National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, 101990, Russian Federation
e-mail: nkaramnova@gnicpm.ru
Oksana Drapkina
National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine
编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: odrapkina@gnicpm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4453-8430
DSc (Medicine), Professor, Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Director of the National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, 101990, Russian Federation
e-mail: odrapkina@gnicpm.ru
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